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Biden Versus Trump

Wednesdays New York Times/Siena College Poll: An Outlier?

Polls Show Biden and Trump Neck-and-Neck

A recent poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College has shown that President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are in a statistical dead heat in the 2024 presidential race. The poll, which was conducted among registered voters nationwide, found that Biden has 45% support while Trump has 44%. The remaining 11% of respondents said they were undecided.

Is the Poll an Outlier?

Some analysts have questioned the accuracy of the poll, arguing that it is an outlier compared to other recent polls. For example, a poll conducted by ABC News and The Washington Post found that Biden leads Trump by 5 points, while a poll conducted by CNN found that Biden leads by 7 points.

However, it is important to note that all polls have a margin of error, and the New York Times/Siena College poll is well within the margin of error for most other polls. Additionally, the poll was conducted by a reputable polling organization, and there is no reason to believe that it is inaccurate.

It is possible that the New York Times/Siena College poll is an outlier, but it is also possible that it is an accurate reflection of the current state of the race. Only time will tell which polls are more accurate.


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